Match Info

Serie D - Round 14

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena da Amazonia (Manaus)


	Manaus		Trem

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	5.75
	1.42	4.15	6.1
	1.42	4.09	6.55
	1.51	3.96	5.97	Watch
	1.41	3.94	7.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.57)	4.01 ↑ (3.65)	6.35 ↑ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manaus
63%

Draw
22.7%

Trem
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

24.8%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

24%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manaus's performance.

Trem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manaus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trem than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Manaus - Trem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 0, Vitinho ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5)

Manaus has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Trem is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Manaus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Manaus is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Manaus won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Manaus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie D
20.07.25	Humaitá - Manaus	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Manaus - Águia de Marabá	3:3 ✺
06.07.25	Manaus - Tuna Luso Brasileira	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Manauara - Manaus	2:2 ✺
15.06.25	Manaus - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWTL
- Trem Desportivo Clube
Brazilian Serie D
19.07.25	Trem - Tuna Luso Brasileira	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Trem - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	1:3 ✺
06.07.25	Humaitá - Trem	2:4 ✺
29.06.25	Independência - Trem	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	Trem - Águia de Marabá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
20.04.25	Trem - Manaus	1:1
20.07.24	Manaus - Trem	3:1
28.04.24	Trem - Manaus	0:0

Manaus - Trem: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide