Match Info

Serie D - Round 11

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena da Amazonia (Manaus)


	Manaus		Tuna Luso Brasileira

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.18	3.23	3.27
				Watch
	2.14	3.18	3.16
	1.92	3.34	3.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.15)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manaus
44.2%

Draw
28.3%

Tuna Luso Brasileira
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29.2%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Tuna Luso Brasileira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuna Luso Brasileira than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Manaus - Tuna Luso Brasileira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Feijao ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 1 - 1, Adriano Jr ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, Adilson Bahia ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

In recent matches, Manaus has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tuna Luso is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tuna Luso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Manaus is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Manaus won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.25	Manauara - Manaus	2:2 ✺
15.06.25	Manaus - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	1:2 ✺
07.06.25	Independência - Manaus	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Manaus - Independência	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Manaus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWW
- Tuna Luso Brasileira
Brazilian Serie D
29.06.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Águia de Marabá	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Independência	3:0 ✺
07.06.25	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Tuna Luso Brasileira	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	3:0 ✺
27.05.25	Independência - Tuna Luso Brasileira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.05.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Manaus	3:0

Manaus - Tuna Luso Brasileira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide