Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 17Date: 11 January 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | WebDirecto |
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 |
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Mancha Real |
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Alhaurino |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.08 |
2.88 |
3.5 |
|
 |
2.11 |
2.98 |
3.61 |
|
 |
2.1 |
2.75 |
3.5 |
|
 |
2.11 |
2.86 |
3.61 |
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 |
2.05 |
3 |
3.6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.11) |
2.89 ↑
(2.82) |
3.56 ↓
(3.68) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mancha Real
43.3% | Draw
31.3% | Alhaurino
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mancha Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Alhaurino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alhaurino than the current prediction. (-2.1%)Mancha Real - Alhaurino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 30', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+7', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Mancha Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Mancha Real will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mancha Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 15 | CD Alhaurino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
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| 17 | Mancha | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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