Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	12:00	WebDirecto


	Mancha Real		Alhaurino

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.05	2.38
	2.54	3.32	2.52
	2.55	3.38	2.5	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.45
	2.57	3.14	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (3.04)	3.23 ↑ (3.17)	2.45 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mancha Real
35.2%

Draw
28%

Alhaurino
36.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.3%

29%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mancha Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Alhaurino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Mancha Real - Alhaurino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 12th).

Alhaurino is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Mancha Real has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mancha Real against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	CD Alhaurino	8	2	3	3	7:9	-2	9
16	Mancha	8	1	3	4	5:11	-6	6

Last Results with these Odds

Mancha Real - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.27%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.10.26	Málaga Juniors - Mancha Real	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Huétor Vega - Mancha Real	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
19.04.26	Mancha Real - Huétor Vega	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLW
- CD Alhaurino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.10.26	Alhaurino - Arenas Armilla	2:2 ✺
04.10.26	Alhaurino - Melilla	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Motril - Alhaurino	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Alhaurino - Churriana de la Vega	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Almeria B - Alhaurino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
11.01.26	Mancha Real - Alhaurino	2:3
07.04.19	Alhaurino - Mancha Real	0:1

Mancha Real - Alhaurino