Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 10

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Mijas-Las Lagunas		Mancha Real

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.25	4.85
	1.72	3.26	5.05
	1.83	3.23	4.41	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.7
	1.87	3.25	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)	3.28 ↓ (3.3)	4.58 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mijas-Las Lagunas
51.8%

Draw
28.1%

Mancha Real
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

26.9%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mijas-Las Lagunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mijas-Las Lagunas than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (+2%)

Mijas Las Lagunas - Mancha Real Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Azarkan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, Moreno J. ⚽,
86', 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Mijas-Las Lagunas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mancha Real has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mijas-Las Lagunas is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mijas-Las Lagunas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Mijas-Las Lagunas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Mijas-Las Lagunas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
01.11.25	Arenas Armilla - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Churriana de la Vega	4:0 ✺
19.10.25	Torreperogil - Mijas-Las Lagunas	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Atlético Porcuna	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Torre Del Mar - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWWL
- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
02.11.25	Mancha Real - Marbellí	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Mancha Real - Motril	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Torreperogil - Mancha Real	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Mancha Real - Atlético Porcuna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.05.25	Mancha Real - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:3
12.01.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Mancha Real	0:1

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