Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 29

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Mancha Real		Melilla B

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.88	3.7
	2.27	2.82	3.37
	1.91	3.08	4.2
	2.2	2.88	3.25
	2.22	2.8	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.97)	2.89 ↓ (2.97)	3.62 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mancha Real
43.1%

Draw
31.6%

Melilla B
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

30.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

29.2%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Melilla B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla B than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Mancha Real - Melilla B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Mancha Real has had a series of away games.

Mancha Real is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Mancha	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
01.04.26	Atlético Porcuna - Mancha Real	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Martos - Mancha Real	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Mancha Real - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Marbellí - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Motril - Mancha Real	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWLL
- UD Melilla B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
01.04.26	Melilla B - UD San Pedro	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Melilla B - Arenas Armilla	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Churriana de la Vega - Melilla B	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Melilla B - Torreperogil	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Atlético Porcuna - Melilla B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLTL

Mancha Real - Melilla B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide