The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Motril 66.6%
Draw 21.7%
Mancha Real 11.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.7%
21.8%
14.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.1%
20.7%
13.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motril than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (+2%)
Motril - Mancha Real Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motril won 1.
Motril is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mancha Real is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Motril is the obvious favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Motril won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Motril won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
Watch
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