Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 17 May 2026, Sunday
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Manchego |
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Tarancón |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.5 |
2.75 |
2.8 |
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2.52 |
2.78 |
2.82 |
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2.63 |
2.66 |
2.97 |
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3.17 |
1.98 |
3.86 |
 Watch |
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2.5 |
2.75 |
2.8 |
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2.56 |
2.68 |
2.88 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.26) |
2.6 ↓
(3.06) |
3.02 ↓
(3.03) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Manchego
34.6% | Draw
35.2% | Tarancón
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manchego's form might have worsened.Tarancón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (-1.7%)Manchego - Tarancón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchego won 2.Manchego has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Tarancón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Tarancón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Manchego won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Manchego won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ciudad Real | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 15 |
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| 8 | Tarancon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Manchego - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.25%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 | | | 14.02.26 | Manchego - Tarancón | 0:2 | | 04.10.25 | Tarancón - Manchego | 1:2 | | 11.05.25 | Tarancón - Manchego | 2:2 | | 11.01.25 | Manchego - Tarancón | 1:3 | | 28.01.23 | Manchego - Tarancón | 2:0 | | 24.09.22 | Tarancón - Manchego | 1:1 | | 19.03.22 | Tarancón - Manchego | 0:0 |
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