The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Manchego 63%
Draw 23%
Huracán Balazote 14%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
26.8%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
25%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchego's performance.
Huracán Balazote has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Huracán Balazote might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchego that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Balazote than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huracán Balazote could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Manchego - Huracán Balazote Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Flores D. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Flores D. ⚽,
34', 3 - 0, Juanra ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 4 - 0, Ayala A. (Own goal),
59', 4 - 1, Panadero G. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
Manchego is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Huracán Balazote is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Manchego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Manchego is considered a favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Manchego won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Manchego won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).