Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 29Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday
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 |
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 |
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Villarrubia |
|
Tarancón |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.78 |
2.92 |
2.45 |
|
 |
2.81 |
2.82 |
2.66 |
|
 |
3.25 |
2.89 |
2.34 |
 Watch |
 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
|
 |
2.82 |
2.82 |
2.49 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.75) |
2.83 ↓
(2.99) |
2.49 ↑
(2.42) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Villarrubia
31.4% | Draw
32.1% | Tarancón
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Tarancón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)The ML Model estimate for Tarancón aligns with the current prediction.Villarrubia - Tarancón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarrubia won 1.Villarrubia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Tarancón has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Villarrubia won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Villarrubia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Tarancon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
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| 15 | Villarrubia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Villarrubia - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.7%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 | | | 22.11.25 | Tarancón - Villarrubia | 0:0 | | 19.04.25 | Villarrubia - Tarancón | 1:1 | | 07.12.24 | Tarancón - Villarrubia | 1:1 | | 07.04.24 | Tarancón - Villarrubia | 0:1 | | 18.11.23 | Villarrubia - Tarancón | 1:1 | | 25.02.23 | Tarancón - Villarrubia | 0:0 | | 22.10.22 | Villarrubia - Tarancón | 2:1 |
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