Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 18

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Manchego		Águilas

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.85	2.1
	3.75	3	2.05	Watch
	3.96	2.84	2.17
	3.96	2.8	2.17
	3.7	2.88	2
	3.83	2.83	2.09
	3.9	2.85	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (2.65)	2.86 ↓ (2.88)	2.09 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchego
24.2%

Draw
32%

Águilas
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

31.5%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

32.3%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manchego's form might have worsened.

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Águilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Águilas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Manchego won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Manchego Ciudad Real
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.01.24	Manchego - Yeclano Deportivo	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Betis B - Manchego	3:1 ✺
09.12.23	Manchego - La Unión	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Antoniano - Manchego	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Manchego - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.01.24	Águilas - Marbella	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Yeclano Deportivo - Águilas	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Águilas - Betis B	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	La Unión - Águilas	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Águilas - Antoniano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.09.23	Águilas - Manchego	1:0

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