Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 17

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Águilas		Marbella

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.87	3
	2.35	3	3.1	Watch
	2.38	2.87	3.32
	2.38	2.85	3.32
	2.2	2.8	3.2
	2.31	2.9	3.18
	2.4	2.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.1)	2.86 ↓ (2.9)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
39.3%

Draw
31.9%

Marbella
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

30.7%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

29.3%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Águilas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Águilas - Marbella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Águilas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marbella has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Águilas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.12.23	Yeclano Deportivo - Águilas	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Águilas - Betis B	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	La Unión - Águilas	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Águilas - Antoniano	3:1 ✺
19.11.23	Cartagena B - Águilas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLWW
- Marbella FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.12.23	Marbella - Vélez	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Marbella - Yeclano Deportivo	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	Sevilla B - Marbella	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Marbella - Betis B	0:2 ✺
18.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Marbella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

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