Match Info

WSL - Round 1

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Academy Stadium (Manchester)

Referee: Cross P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Arena Asia
Australia	Stan Sport
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky One
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Manchester City		Birmingham City LFC

	1	X	2
	1.08	9.50	21.00
	1.07	10.50	17.50
	1.06	11.00	17.00
	1.01	9.90	15.00
	1.06	14.03	17.94	Watch
	1.05	11.00	14.00
	1.01	12.00	26.00
	1.07	9.20	19.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↑ (1.03)	10.89 ↓ (12.85)	18.43 ↓ (35.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City
86.7%

Draw
8.4%

Birmingham City LFC
4.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

90.2%

7.2%

2.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Birmingham City LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Manchester City - Birmingham City LFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Yamashita A. (G) 18. Casparij K. 4. Rose J. 28. Prior G. 5. Greenwood A. (C) 19. Blindkilde L. 25. Hasegawa Y. 20. Fujino A. 8. Fowler M. 11. Hemp L. 9. Shaw K.	23. Baggaley S. (G) 3. Levasseur M. 21. Turner M. (C) 30. Herron N. 18. McKenna R. 8. Naalsund L. 7. Lee Geum-Min 16. Crosthwaite L. 10. Leidhammar W. 22. Hurtre O. 27. Sarri V.
Substitutes
63. Beckinsale C. 24. Beney I. 17. Coffey S. 1. Cumings E. (G) 53. Davies M. 66. Davis S. 7. Mead B. 37. Wamser C. 13. Wienroither L.	14. Amano S. 6. Cooke S. 19. Cornet C. 20. Effa Effa C. 2. Harris M. 15. Holloway R. 26. Miyagawa A. 40. Startup K. (G) 1. Thomas L. (G)
Coaches
Jeglertz A.	Merricks A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Naalsund L. ↓, Miyagawa A. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Fowler M. ⚽,
55', 2 - 0, Shaw K. ⚽, Casparij K. (A),
57', Leidhammar W. ↓, Cornet C. ↑,
61', Casparij K. ↓, Beney I. ↑,
61', Fowler M. ↓, Mead B. ↑,
72', Sarri V. ↓, Effa Effa C. ↑,
74', Blindkilde L. ↓, Coffey S. ↑,
74', Greenwood A. ↓, Wamser C. ↑,
83', Mead B. 🟨,
84', Lee Geum-Min ↓, Amano S. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Shaw K. ⚽, Mead B. (A),
90', 3 - 1, Hurtre O. ⚽,
90+3', Effa Effa C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester City won 5.

In this match, Manchester City is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Manchester City won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 39:11. (average 2.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Manchester City won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:4. (average 2.6:0.5).

Outrights of English WSL for now

Manchester City W: 26.81% Birmingham W: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City W	5	5	0	0	16:6	10	15
13	Birmingham W	5	0	2	3	7:12	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City WFC
English FA Cup Women
31.05.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City	0:4 ✺
English WSL
16.05.26	West Ham - Manchester City	1:4 ✺
English FA Cup Women
10.05.26	Chelsea - Manchester City	2:3 ET ✺
English WSL
03.05.26	Manchester City - Liverpool LFC	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL
- Birmingham City LFC
English WSL 2
02.05.26	Charlton Athletic - Birmingham City LFC	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Birmingham City LFC - Ipswich Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup Women
06.04.26	Birmingham City LFC - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
English WSL 2
01.04.26	Birmingham City LFC - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Bristol City - Birmingham City LFC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup Women
06.04.26	Birmingham City LFC - Manchester City	0:1
English WSL
04.05.22	Manchester City - Birmingham City LFC	6:0
12.12.21	Birmingham City LFC - Manchester City	2:3
02.05.21	Manchester City - Birmingham City LFC	4:0
28.02.21	Birmingham City LFC - Manchester City	0:4
19.01.20	Birmingham City LFC - Manchester City	0:2
English League Cup Women
03.11.19	Manchester City - Birmingham City LFC	2:1

Manchester City - Birmingham City LFC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide