Match Info

WSL 2 - Round 19

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	WSL 2


	Bristol City		Birmingham City LFC

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.82
	3.76	3.74	1.81
	3.64	3.74	1.84	Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.85
	3.64	3.84	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↓ (4.32)	3.6 ↓ (3.83)	1.84 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City
25%

Draw
25.3%

Birmingham City LFC
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

23.8%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

22.7%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Birmingham City LFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham City LFC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City LFC than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City LFC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bristol City - Birmingham City LFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bentley F. (G) 2. Powell E. 3. Lawley G. 4. Struck C. 14. Ward M. 7. Robinson K. 16. Syme E. (C) 5. Ingle S. 21. Dafeur M. 33. Gale J. 10. Lloyd-Smith L.	24. Franch A. (G) 18. McKenna R. 2. Harris M. 30. Herron N. 15. Holloway R. 26. Miyagawa A. 19. Cornet C. (C) 16. Crosthwaite L. 8. Leidhammar W. 22. Hurtre O. 27. Sarri V.
Substitutes
41. Bennett H. 22. Brzykcy L. (G) 19. Farrugia M. 9. Hardy R. 23. Jones V. 20. Morgan E. 24. Saez C. 15. Wos O.	6. Cooke S. 14. Hopcroft S. 3. Kovacs M. 7. Lee Geum-Min 20. Lindstrom L. 29. Louis B. 17. Quinn Lu. 4. Silcock H. 1. Thomas L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Dafeur M. 🟨,
17', Franch A. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dafeur M. ↓, Jones V. ↑,
56', Sarri V. ↓, Lindstrom L. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Leidhammar W. ⚽,
72', Powell E. ↓, Bennett H. ↑,
72', Struck C. ↓, Wos O. ↑,
72', Gale J. ↓, Hardy R. ↑,
78', Robinson K. ↓, Farrugia M. ↑,
83', Crosthwaite L. ↓, Louis B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WSL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 1.

Bristol City is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Birmingham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bristol City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Birmingham is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 10:29. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 1:13. (average 0.1:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Bristol City W	5	2	1	2	8:7	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City WFC
English WSL 2
22.03.26	Bristol City - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Portsmouth - Bristol City	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup Women
22.02.26	Arsenal LFC - Bristol City	3:0 ✺
English WSL 2
15.02.26	Bristol City - Southampton	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Crystal Palace - Bristol City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTLLL
- Birmingham City LFC
English WSL 2
22.03.26	Birmingham City LFC - Sheffield United	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Newcastle United - Birmingham City LFC	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Southampton - Birmingham City LFC	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup Women
21.02.26	Birmingham City LFC - Chatham Town	8:0 ✺
English WSL 2
16.02.26	Birmingham City LFC - Crystal Palace	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup Women
24.09.25	Birmingham City LFC - Bristol City	3:2 penalties
English WSL 2
07.09.25	Birmingham City LFC - Bristol City	5:1
26.01.25	Birmingham City LFC - Bristol City	1:3
English League Cup Women
24.11.24	Bristol City - Birmingham City LFC	1:3
English WSL 2
15.09.24	Bristol City - Birmingham City LFC	0:0
30.04.23	Birmingham City LFC - Bristol City	2:0
20.11.22	Bristol City - Birmingham City LFC	0:1

Bristol City - Birmingham City LFC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide