The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Manchester City U21 46.7%
Draw 25.1%
Southampton U21 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.9%
19.4%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60%
19.8%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchester City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manchester City U21's form might have worsened.
Southampton U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southampton U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City U21 than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester City U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton U21 than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southampton U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Manchester City U21 - Southampton U21 Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City U21 (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brits S. (G) 2. Katongo J. 3. Mfuni S. 4. Mbete L. 5. Naylor S. 6. Fapetu F. 7. Lawrence E. 10. Oboavwoduo J. 8. Heskey J. (C) 11. Heskey R. 9. Warhurst M.
1. Moody D. (G) 15. Vallance J. 6. Okonola-Matthews A. 5. Dobson-Ventura T. 28. Whittaker R. 8. Sesay M. 22. Bragg C. (C) 3. Fry M. 19. Williams B. 10. Akachukwu R. 11. Oyekunle N.
Substitutes
15. Breckin K. 14. Gray C. 16. Muir A. 12. Noble K. 13. Wint J. (G)
7. Charles B. 17. Gathercole H. 30. Jeffries J. (G) 21. Merry W. 20. Sewell B.
Coaches
Wilkinson B.
Eckert T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Oyekunle N. ⚽, Akachukwu R. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Warhurst M. ⚽, Lawrence E. (A),
32', Heskey J. 🟨,
36', 1 - 2, Fry M. ⚽, Bragg C. (A),
38', 1 - 3, Oyekunle N. ⚽, Fry M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mbete L. ↓, Noble K. ↑,
58', Charles B. 🟨,
64', Heskey R. ↓, Muir A. ↑,
64', Fapetu F. ↓, Gray C. ↑,
67', 2 - 3, Oboavwoduo J. ⚽, Heskey J. (A),
68', Moody D. ↓, Jeffries J. ↑,
68', Sesay M. ↓, Merry W. ↑,
72', Fry M. ↓, Sewell B. ↑,
73', 3 - 3, Mfuni S. ⚽, Oboavwoduo J. (A),
90', Akachukwu R. ↓, Gathercole H. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City U21 won 3.
Man City U21 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
S`hampton U21 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Man City U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Man City U21 has had a series of away games.
In this match, Man City U21 is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Man City U21 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Man City U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
United-kingdom
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Brits S. (G) 
Lawrence E. 
Akachukwu R. 
Eckert T. 
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