Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 11 March 2024, Monday

Location: Academy Stadium (Manchester)

Referee: Crusham M. (Eng)


	Manchester City U21		Sunderland U21

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.2	3.25
	1.66	4.5	3.6
	1.73	4.76	3.55
	1.68	4.77	3.55
	1.72	4.33	3.52	Watch
	1.7	4.5	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.28)	4.51 ↑ (4.26)	3.49 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City U21
53.6%

Draw
20.2%

Sunderland U21
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

21.6%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

21.2%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester City U21's performance.

Sunderland U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunderland U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City U21 than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchester City U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grant T. (G) 2. Henderson-Hall M. 3. Simpson-Pusey J. 4. Taylor K. 5. Galvez T. 8. Breckin K. 6. Susoho M. 10. O'Reilly N. 7. Tibidi A. 9. Adam J. 11. Hamilton M. (C)	1. Chibueze K. (G) 2. Lavery T. 5. Bell L. 6. Fieldson H. 3. Bainbridge O. 8. Middlemas B. 4. Chiabi T. 10. Jones H. (C) 7. Kelly C. 9. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 11. Tuterov T.
Substitutes
14. Lawrence E. 13. Murray-Jones G. (G) 16. Ndala J. 12. Smith I. 15. Sodje T.	13. Cameron D. (G) 14. Jones J. A. 12. Ryder J. 15. Walsh R. 16. Whittaker J.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.	Murty G.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sunderland U21 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Man City U21 is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Man City U21 won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Man City U21 won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City U21
English Premier League 2
04.03.24	Manchester City U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	Manchester United U21 - Manchester City U21	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Manchester City U21 - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	3:3 ✺
29.01.24	Everton U21 - Manchester City U21	1:1 ✺
15.01.24	Stoke City U21 - Manchester City U21	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTTL
- Sunderland U21
English Premier League Cup
08.03.24	Nottingham Forest U21 - Sunderland U21	2:1 ET ✺
English Premier League 2
01.03.24	Sunderland U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Reading U21 - Sunderland U21	2:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
05.02.24	Sunderland U21 - Bristol City U21	1:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
29.01.24	Leeds United U21 - Sunderland U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League U21
12.03.16	Manchester City U21 - Sunderland U21	1:1
20.09.15	Sunderland U21 - Manchester City U21	3:0
26.01.15	Sunderland U21 - Manchester City U21	1:0
26.08.14	Manchester City U21 - Sunderland U21	1:1
28.03.14	Manchester City U21 - Sunderland U21	6:2

Manchester City U21 - Sunderland U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide