Match Info

Premier League 2

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)


	Stoke City U21		Manchester City U21

	1	X	2
	5.15	4.85	1.41
	5	5.37	1.44
	6.16	5.63	1.37	Watch
	5	4.75	1.4
	4.93	4.93	1.5	Watch
	5	4.75	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↑ (4.15)	5.05 ↑ (5.03)	1.43 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City U21
17.6%

Draw
18.2%

Manchester City U21
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

18.5%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

18.1%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Manchester City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City U21 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City U21 than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Stoke City U21 - Manchester City U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Clothier C. (G) 2. Dixon J. 5. Griffin J. (C) 6. Gromek W. 3. Agina S. 4. Otegbayo R. 8. Smith W. 7. Fearn E. 10. Enabulele O. 11. Chibueze C. 9. Matondo J.	1. Wint J. (G) 2. Nfonkeu B. 3. Parker H. 4. Noble K. 5. Braithwaite K. 6. Gray C. 8. Samba F. 7. McAidoo R. 10. Mukasa D. (C) 11. Heskey R. 9. Warhurst M.
Substitutes
13. Cooper N. (G) 16. Martin T. 15. Maskall J. 12. Mcwilliams J. 14. Phillips S.	13. Brits S. (G) 14. Dada-Mascoll I. 16. Muir A. 15. Samba T. 12. Thomas R.
Coaches
Lawrence L.	Wilkinson B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Warhurst M. ⚽, McAidoo R. (A),
45+3', 0 - 2, Samba F. ⚽, Mukasa D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Mukasa D. ↓, Muir A. ↑,
46', Matondo J. ↓, Martin T. ↑,
46', Dixon J. ↓, Phillips S. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Martin T. ⚽, Gromek W. (A),
57', Phillips S. 🟨,
58', 1 - 3, Samba F. ⚽, Heskey R. (A),
61', 1 - 4, Samba F. ⚽, Muir A. (A),
62', McAidoo R. ↓, Dada-Mascoll I. ↑,
70', Braithwaite K. ↓, Thomas R. ↑,
71', 1 - 5, Muir A. ⚽, Gray C. (A),
74', Gray C. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
76', Smith W. ↓, Maskall J. ↑,
76', Agina S. ↓, Mcwilliams J. ↑,
83', 1 - 6, Warhurst M. ⚽, Samba F. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Man City U21 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Man City U21 is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stoke U21 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Stoke U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Stoke City U21	4	1	1	2	7:5	2	4
21	Manchester City U21	3	1	0	2	7:6	1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City U21
English Premier League 2
23.01.26	Stoke City U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Leeds United U21 - Stoke City U21	0:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
21.12.25	Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Sheffield United U21 - Stoke City U21	4:2 ✺
30.11.25	Stoke City U21 - Bristol City U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTLW
- Manchester City U21
English Premier League 2
25.01.26	Everton U21 - Manchester City U21	3:2 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
20.01.26	Manchester City U21 - Monaco II	1:3 ✺
14.01.26	Manchester City U21 - RB Leipzig II	3:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
09.01.26	Manchester City U21 - Burnley U21	8:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
16.12.25	Manchester City U21 - Real Madrid U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
17.01.25	Manchester City U21 - Stoke City U21	2:2
15.01.24	Stoke City U21 - Manchester City U21	5:1

Stoke City U21 - Manchester City U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide