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Manchester United vs Atlético Madrid Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, February 19, 2026)

Match Info

Champions League Women - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Leigh Sports Village (Leigh)

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	Disney+
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	ESPN 2, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	Disney+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Disney+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Disney+
China	iQIYI
Croatia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Estonia	Disney+
Finland	Disney+
France	Disney+
Greece	Disney+, MEGA News
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hungary	Disney+
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Disney+
Kazakhstan	Disney+
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Disney+
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	TVC Deportes
Netherlands	Disney+
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	Disney+, NRK 3, NRK Sport, NRK TV
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Disney+
Portugal	Disney+
Romania	Disney+
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Disney+
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	3Cat, Disney+, Esport 3, Esport3
Sweden	Discovery+, Disney+, TV4 Play
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	Tabii, TRT Spor
United-kingdom	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Manchester United		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	4.75
	1.5	4.45	4.95
	1.5	4.79	5.19
	1.5	4.9	5.17	Watch
	1.44	4	5
	1.54	4.63	4.88
	1.52	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.41)	4.54 ↓ (4.73)	4.99 ↓ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
61.3%

Draw
20.3%

Atlético Madrid
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

19.2%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

18.2%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Atlético Madrid (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Madrid (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Tullis-Joyce P. (G) 5. Lundkvist H. 4. Le Tissier M. (C) 21. Turner M. 17. Janssen D. 18. Zigiotti Olme J. 20. Miyazawa H. 16. Naalsund L. 8. Park J. 24. Schuller L. 9. Malard M.	1. Lola (C) 23. Alexia 5. Perez X. 4. Lauren Leal 11. Menayo C. 3. Medina A. 6. Boe Risa V. 17. Bartel J. 21. Iannuzzi F. 7. Jensen S. 20. Sarriegi A.
Substitutes
47. Anderson J. 13. Awujo S. 3. George G. 39. Middleton-Patel S. (G) 1. Rendell K. (G) 19. Wangerheim E.	31. Bucero A. (G) 16. Chinchilla P. 18. Gio Garbelini 9. Guijarro S. 12. Kuhl K. 13. Larque P. (G) 22. Luany 27. Martin N. 14. Otermin R. 19. Portales Nieto M. 41. Rodriguez L.
Coaches
Skinner M.	Herrera J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', Schuller L. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Zigiotti Olme J. ⚽, Naalsund L. (A),
34', Menayo C. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Park J. ⚽, Miyazawa H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zigiotti Olme J. ↓, Awujo S. ↑,
52', Lundkvist H. 🟨,
55', Schuller L. ↓, Wangerheim E. ↑,
58', Menayo C. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
58', Boe Risa V. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
65', Lundkvist H. ↓, George G. ↑,
65', Medina A. ↓, Otermin R. ↑,
66', Iannuzzi F. ↓, Kuhl K. ↑,
73', Sarriegi A. ↓, Luany ↑,
75', Perez X. 🟨,
76', Lauren Leal 🟨,
78', Park J. ↓, Anderson J. ↑,
85', Perez X. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 3-0. Second leg.

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Man Utd has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Atlético Madrid has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Atlético Madrid has had a series of home games.

In this match, Man Utd is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Man Utd will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United WFC
English WSL
15.02.26	Manchester United - London City Lionesses	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
12.02.26	Atlético Madrid - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
English WSL
07.02.26	Leicester City - Manchester United	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Manchester United - Liverpool LFC	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Aston Villa - Manchester United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW
- Atlético Madrid Féminas
Spanish Liga F Women
15.02.26	Atlético Madrid - Madrid CFF	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
12.02.26	Atlético Madrid - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
08.02.26	Levante - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
04.02.26	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	4:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
31.01.26	Atlético Madrid - Granada	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
12.02.26	Atlético Madrid - Manchester United	0:3
16.10.25	Atlético Madrid - Manchester United	0:1

Manchester United - Atlético Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide