Match Info

WSL - Round 21

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Leigh Sports Village (Leigh)

Referee: Lowe G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+


	Manchester United		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.33	5.25
	1.47	4.25	5.15
	1.54	4.52	5.3
	1.48	4.58	5.7	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5
	1.54	4.35	5.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.63)	4.37 ↑ (3.94)	5.28 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
61.3%

Draw
21.2%

Brighton & Hove Albion
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

23.3%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

23.7%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Tullis-Joyce P. (G) 14. Riviere J. 4. Le Tissier M. (C) 3. George G. 2. Sandberg A. 8. Park J. 18. Zigiotti Olme J. 20. Miyazawa H. 12. Rolfo F. 7. Toone E. 9. Malard M.	1. Nnadozie C. (G) 33. Rule C. 18. Hayes C. 3. Minami M. 2. Vanegas M. 11. Seike K. 10. Cankovic J. 8. Symonds M. (C) 6. Kafaji R. 14. Kirby F. 21. Haley M.
Substitutes
13. Awujo S. 11. Galton L. 5. Lundkvist H. 39. Middleton-Patel S. (G) 16. Naalsund L. 1. Rendell K. (G) 24. Schuller L. 21. Turner M. 19. Wangerheim E.	32. Baggaley S. (G) 22. Camacho C. 44. McEwan G. L. 27. McLauchlan R. 15. Noordam N. 19. Olislagers M. 17. Rayner R. 29. Tsunoda F. 20. Tvedten O.
Coaches
Skinner M.	Vidosic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Rule C. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Cankovic J. ⚽,
41', Cankovic J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Kafaji R. ↓, Olislagers M. ↑,
58', Rule C. ↓, McLauchlan R. ↑,
64', Rolfo F. ↓, Wangerheim E. ↑,
72', Sandberg A. ↓, Lundkvist H. ↑,
73', Zigiotti Olme J. ↓, Awujo S. ↑,
80', Haley M. 🟨,
81', Kirby F. ↓, Noordam N. ↑,
82', Seike K. ↓, Camacho C. ↑,
82', Park J. ↓, Schuller L. ↑,
82', Toone E. ↓, Galton L. ↑,
90+1', Tullis-Joyce P. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Schuller L. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 4.

Recent form of Man Utd has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brighton & Hove is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Man Utd is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: Galton L. (Lower Back Injury) Ildhusoy C. (Injury) Janssen D. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Agyemang M. (Knee Injury) Heron T. (Injury) Masaka A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Terland E. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 39:10. (average 2.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:3. (average 2.8:0.4).

Outrights of English WSL for now

Brighton W: 0.87%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Manchester Utd W	5	2	1	2	5:9	-4	7
9	Brighton W	5	1	2	2	8:7	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United WFC
English WSL
26.04.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
01.04.26	Bayern Munich - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
English WSL
28.03.26	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
25.03.26	Manchester United - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
English WSL
21.03.26	Manchester United - Everton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLW
- Brighton & Hove Albion WFC
English WSL
25.04.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup Women
05.04.26	Arsenal LFC - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
English WSL
29.03.26	Leicester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool LFC	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English WSL
02.11.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	2:3
26.01.25	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:0
19.10.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	1:1
English FA Cup Women
09.03.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	0:4
English WSL
04.02.24	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0
05.11.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	2:2
English FA Cup Women
15.04.23	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:2

Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide