Match Info

Champions League Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich)

Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	Disney+
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Football Asia, TOD
Austria	Disney+
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Disney+
Canada	OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Czech-republic	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN
Estonia	Disney+
Finland	Disney+
France	Disney+
Greece	Disney+
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	Disney+
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Iran	Persiana Sports 4
Italy	Disney+
Kazakhstan	Disney+
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Disney+
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	TVC Deportes
Netherlands	Disney+
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Disney+
Paraguay	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Disney+
Portugal	Disney+
Romania	Disney+
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Disney+
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	Disney+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United-kingdom	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Bayern Munich		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.25	4.75
	1.39	4.95	5.9
	1.37	5.21	6.62
	1.39	5.15	6.54	Watch
	1.36	4.4	5.75
	1.38	4.95	5.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.56)	4.99 ↑ (4.21)	5.89 ↑ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
66.1%

Draw
18.4%

Manchester United
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.2%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

21.5%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayern Munich's performance.

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Bayern Munich - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Mahmutovic E. (G) 7. Gwinn G. 4. Viggosdottir G. (C) 2. Gilles V. 30. Simon C. 10. Dallmann L. 31. Stanway G. 15. Amani B. 20. Kett F. 18. Tanikawa M. 21. Harder P.	91. Tullis-Joyce P. (G) 14. Riviere J. 4. Le Tissier M. (C) 21. Turner M. 5. Lundkvist H. 18. Zigiotti Olme J. 20. Miyazawa H. 13. Awujo S. 8. Park J. 9. Malard M. 12. Rolfo F.
Substitutes
3. Ballisager S. 27. Caruso A. 28. Dunst B. 5. Eriksson M. 1. Grohs M. (G) 29. Imade E. 44. Kreuzpaintner J. (G) 23. Padilla N. 33. Zahringer L.	47. Anderson J. 3. George G. 39. Middleton-Patel S. (G) 16. Naalsund L. 1. Rendell K. (G) 24. Schuller L.
Coaches
Barcala J.	Skinner M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Malard M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', Awujo S. ↓, Naalsund L. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Viggosdottir G. ⚽, Simon C. (A),
84', 2 - 1, Dallmann L. ⚽,
85', Simon C. ↓, Caruso A. ↑,
86', Lundkvist H. ↓, Schuller L. ↑,
86', Turner M. ↓, George G. ↑,
89', Gwinn G. ↓, Ballisager S. ↑,
90+2', Le Tissier M. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 3-2. Second leg.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Bayern has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Man Utd is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bayern has had a series of away games.

In this match, Bayern is considered a favorite.

We predict that Bayern will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Outrights of UEFA Champions League Women for now

Bayern Munich W: 7.12%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bayern Munich W	2	1	1	0	5:2	3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bayern Munich Women
German Bundesliga Women
28.03.26	Bayern Munich - Nürnberg	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
25.03.26	Manchester United - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
20.03.26	SGS Essen - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
15.03.26	Köln - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal Women
11.03.26	Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW
- Manchester United WFC
English WSL
28.03.26	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
25.03.26	Manchester United - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
English WSL
21.03.26	Manchester United - Everton	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	West Ham - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
15.03.26	Chelsea - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
25.03.26	Manchester United - Bayern Munich	2:3
Club Friendly Women
19.08.22	Manchester United - Bayern Munich	0:3

Bayern Munich - Manchester United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide