Match Info

Champions League Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	18:45	Disney+
Argentina	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Football Asia, TOD
Austria	18:45	Disney+
Bolivia	12:45	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Disney+
Brazil	13:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:45	Disney+
Canada	12:45	OneSoccer
Chile	13:45	Disney+
Colombia	11:45	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	18:45	Disney+
Cyprus	19:45	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:45	Disney+
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Ecuador	11:45	ESPN
Estonia	19:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Disney+
France	18:45	Disney+
Greece	19:45	Disney+
Hong Kong	00:45	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	18:45	Disney+
Iceland	16:45	Disney+
India	22:15	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Iran	20:15	Persiana Sports 4
Italy	18:45	Disney+
Kazakhstan	22:45	Disney+
Kenya	19:45	Gotv
Kosovo	18:45	Disney+
Laos	23:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	10:45	TVC Deportes
Netherlands	18:45	Disney+
Nigeria	17:45	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	18:45	Disney+
Paraguay	12:45	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	11:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	18:45	Disney+
Portugal	17:45	Disney+
Romania	19:45	Disney+
Singapore	00:45	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	18:45	Disney+
South Africa	18:45	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	18:45	Disney+
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Thailand	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United Kingdom	17:45	Disney+
Uruguay	13:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	CBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
Venezuela	12:45	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Bayern Munich		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.25	4.75
	1.39	4.95	5.9
	1.37	5.21	6.62
	1.39	5.15	6.54	Watch
	1.36	4.4	5.75
	1.38	4.95	5.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.56)	4.99 ↑ (4.21)	5.89 ↑ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
66.1%

Draw
18.4%

Manchester United
15.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.2%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

21.5%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayern Munich's performance.

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Bayern Munich - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Mahmutovic E. (G) 7. Gwinn G. 4. Viggosdottir G. (C) 2. Gilles V. 30. Simon C. 10. Dallmann L. 31. Stanway G. 15. Amani B. 20. Kett F. 18. Tanikawa M. 21. Harder P.	91. Tullis-Joyce P. (G) 14. Riviere J. 4. Le Tissier M. (C) 21. Turner M. 5. Lundkvist H. 18. Zigiotti Olme J. 20. Miyazawa H. 13. Awujo S. 8. Park J. 9. Malard M. 12. Rolfo F.
Substitutes
3. Ballisager S. 27. Caruso A. 28. Dunst B. 5. Eriksson M. 1. Grohs M. (G) 29. Imade E. 44. Kreuzpaintner J. (G) 23. Padilla N. 33. Zahringer L.	47. Anderson J. 3. George G. 39. Middleton-Patel S. (G) 16. Naalsund L. 1. Rendell K. (G) 24. Schuller L.
Coaches
Barcala J.	Skinner M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Malard M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', Awujo S. ↓, Naalsund L. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Viggosdottir G. ⚽, Simon C. (A),
84', 2 - 1, Dallmann L. ⚽,
85', Simon C. ↓, Caruso A. ↑,
86', Lundkvist H. ↓, Schuller L. ↑,
86', Turner M. ↓, George G. ↑,
89', Gwinn G. ↓, Ballisager S. ↑,
90+2', Le Tissier M. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 3-2. Second leg.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Bayern has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Man Utd is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bayern has had a series of away games.

In this match, Bayern is considered a favorite.

We predict that Bayern will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bayern Munich W	2	1	1	0	5:2	3	4

Outrights of UEFA Champions League Women for now

Bayern Munich W: 6.99%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bayern Munich Women
German Bundesliga Women
28.03.26	Bayern Munich - Nürnberg	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
25.03.26	Manchester United - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
20.03.26	SGS Essen - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
15.03.26	Köln - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal Women
11.03.26	Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW
- Manchester United WFC
English WSL
28.03.26	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
25.03.26	Manchester United - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
English WSL
21.03.26	Manchester United - Everton	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	West Ham - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
15.03.26	Chelsea - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
25.03.26	Manchester United - Bayern Munich	2:3
Club Friendly Women
19.08.22	Manchester United - Bayern Munich	0:3

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