Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Mandel United		RFC Liège

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2
	3	3.35	2
	3.67	3.55	1.96
	3.5	3.52	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.17)	3.42 ↑ (3.28)	1.97 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mandel United
27.4%

Draw
26.6%

RFC Liège
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

27.5%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

18.7%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mandel United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mandel United than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mandel United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RFC Liège, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 13 in the zone National Division 1 (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National Division 1 (Promotion Group)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

RFC Liège could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mandel United have a series of home games.

RFC Liège will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mandel United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Mandel United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mandel United
Belgian National Division 1
23.10.21	Mandel United - Dender EH	0:2 ✺
17.10.21	Rupel Boom - Mandel United	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.10.21	Mandel United - Mouscron	1:0 ✺
Belgian National Division 1
09.10.21	Mandel United - Dessel Sport	0:3 ✺
02.10.21	Mandel United - Francs Borains	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWLT
- RFC Liège
Belgian National Division 1
31.10.21	Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport - RFC Liège	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	RFC Liège - Heist	2:0 ✺
16.10.21	Dender EH - RFC Liège	0:0 ✺
10.10.21	RFC Liège - Knokke	3:0 ✺
03.10.21	RFC Liège - URSL Vise	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Second Amateur Division Group C
17.05.18	RFC Liège - Mandel United	1:0
13.05.18	Mandel United - RFC Liège	0:2

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