Match Info

WA State League - Round 15

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday


	Mandurah City		Subiaco

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.55
	2.35	3.45	2.52
				Watch
	2.28	3.5	2.6
	2.28	3.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.25)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	2.57 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mandurah City
39.2%

Draw
25.9%

Subiaco
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

25.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

24.8%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mandurah City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Subiaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mandurah City than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Subiaco than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Mandurah City - Subiaco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 3 - 0, ⚽,
85', 4 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mandurah City won 1.

Mandurah City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Subiaco has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mandurah City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mandurah City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mandurah City FC
Australian WA State League
28.06.25	Murdoch University Melville - Mandurah City	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Mandurah City - Gwelup Croatia	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Gosnells City - Mandurah City	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Mandurah City - Curtin University	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Dianella White Eagles - Mandurah City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLL
- Subiaco AFC
Australian WA State League
28.06.25	Dianella White Eagles - Subiaco	3:0 ✺
21.06.25	Subiaco - UWA Nedlands	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Subiaco - Kingsley Westside	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Joondalup City - Subiaco	2:1 ✺
04.06.25	Gosnells City - Subiaco	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian WA State League
26.04.25	Subiaco - Mandurah City	3:1
13.07.24	Subiaco - Mandurah City	3:1
13.04.24	Mandurah City - Subiaco	0:1
Club Friendly
24.03.21	Mandurah City - Subiaco	2:1
Australian NPL Western Australia
29.07.17	Mandurah City - Subiaco	1:1
15.04.17	Subiaco - Mandurah City	2:2

Mandurah City - Subiaco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide