Match Info

TURKEY: TURKISH CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Altay		Aliaga

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.1	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.15	2.15
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	3.32	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.45	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.2)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	2.06 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altay
28.8%

Draw
26.9%

Aliaga
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.6%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altay's form might have worsened.

Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aliaga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altay than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aliaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.8%	3.8%	92.3%

Altay - Aliaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Altay will win (votes: 2 - 3.8%). Aliaga will win (votes: 48 - 92.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliaga: 85.1% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Altay is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aliaga in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Aliaga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Aliaga have a series of guest games.

Aliaga will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altay SK
Turkish First League
29.10.23	Altay - Sakaryaspor	1:2 ✺
23.10.23	Gençlerbirliği - Altay	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Altay - Umraniyespor	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Giresunspor - Altay	0:0 ✺
25.09.23	Altay - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLTT
- Aliaga FK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
28.10.23	Artvin Hopaspor - Aliaga	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	52 Orduspor - Aliaga	0:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
11.10.23	Uşakspor - Aliaga	1:4 ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
08.10.23	Aliaga - Talasgücü	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Karabük İdmanyurdu - Aliaga	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWWW

Altay - Aliaga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide