Match Info

1. Lig - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu (Kayseri) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Akarsu A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Turkey	19:00	beIN Connect, Digiturk, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Kayserispor		Manisa FK

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.50	6.00	Watch
	1.40	4.40	5.75
	1.38	4.30	6.25	Watch
	1.40	5.06	7.92
	1.42	4.67	6.6	Watch
	1.36	4.80	7.80
	1.31	4.88	6.98
	1.39	4.60	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)	4.65 ↓ (4.95)	6.69 ↓ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayserispor
66.5%

Draw
19.7%

Manisa FK
13.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.8%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1%

17.8%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kayserispor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Kayserispor - Manisa FK Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kayserispor will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Degirmenci G. (G) 7. Ucar M. 4. Guler S. (C) 3. Tabidze J. 77. Sen C. 28. Camara M. 8. Kurt S. 61. Saglam G. 10. Keser B. 27. Moreno D. 97. Seferi T.	1. Karakus V. (G) 22. Yurdakul K. 5. Herelle C. 45. Ibik A. 27. Gureler Y. 60. Toure B. (C) 20. Benrahou Y. 6. Cankaya A. 23. Anziani J. 7. Talum Y. 9. Sylla C.
Substitutes
6. Akpinar M. 71. Caglayan O. 5. Cihan K. 16. Donmezer D. (G) 88. Dulca M. 17. Gockan M. 9. Hasani F. 38. Karapinar A. T. 11. Kemaloglu E. 22. Radu D.	24. Dursun Y. 4. Inal F. 17. Kahraman O. 3. Kaynak O. 2. Kose Y. 11. Lemina N. 25. Sen A. 96. Tibukoglu B. 70. Vargas A. 13. Yayli E. (G)
Coaches
Gerin A.	Pektas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Gureler Y. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Keser B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Gureler Y. ↓, Kaynak O. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Moreno D. ⚽, Seferi T. (A),
54', 2 - 1, Cankaya A. ⚽,
55', Sen C. ↓, Radu D. ↑,
60', Sylla C. 🟨,
60', Guler S. 🟨,
63', Toure B. ↓, Vargas A. ↑,
71', Camara M. ↓, Hasani F. ↑,
71', Keser B. ↓, Kemaloglu E. ↑,
79', Talum Y. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
82', Seferi T. ↓, Caglayan O. ↑,
82', Saglam G. ↓, Akpinar M. ↑,
86', Benrahou Y. ↓, Lemina N. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Sylla C. ⚽, Cankaya A. (A),
89', Degirmenci G. 🟨,
90', Sylla C. 🟥,
90+1', Karakus V. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 2, Akpinar M. ⚽, Radu D. (A),
90+5', Kurt S. 🟨,
90+7', Herelle C. 🟨,
90+9', Anziani J. 🟨,

Preview

The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Super Lig and 14th).

Kayserispor is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Manisa has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The betting markets point to Kayserispor as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Kayserispor: Burak A. (Suspended) Ozer F. (Knee Injury).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Kayserispor has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 3:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kayserispor against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kayserispor	12	8	3	1	26:9	17	27
17	Manisa FK	12	2	4	6	19:22	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayserispor
Turkish First League
20.09.26	Mardin 1969 - Kayserispor	0:1 ✺
14.09.26	Kayserispor - İstanbulspor	4:0 ✺
07.09.26	Erokspor - Kayserispor	0:3 ✺
02.09.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Kayserispor - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWTL
- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
20.09.26	Manisa FK - İstanbulspor	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Manisa FK	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Manisa FK - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Igdirspor - Manisa FK	4:2 ✺
30.08.26	Manisa FK - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
19.12.19	Manisa FK - Kayserispor	3:3
05.12.19	Kayserispor - Manisa FK	3:2

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