Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 22

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Seymour Shaw Park (Sutherland)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	NPL NNSWF


	Sutherland Sharks		APIA Leichhardt Tigers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.50	4.00	1.61
	4.75	3.8	1.55
	3.6	4.2	1.88
	4.41	4.53	1.61
	3.5	4.15	1.76
	3.98	3.67	1.83	Watch
	4.8	3.85	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↓ (4.7)	4.03 ↑ (3.95)	1.69 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutherland Sharks
22%

Draw
23%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

22.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

21.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that APIA Leichhardt Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sutherland Sharks - APIA Leichhardt Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, ⚽,
81', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutherland Sharks won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Recently, Sutherland Sharks has had a series of away games.

In this match, APIA Leichhardt is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sutherland Sharks won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 19:52. (average 1:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sutherland Sharks won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 1.1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutherland Sharks
Australian NPL NSW
27.06.26	University of New South Wales - Sutherland Sharks	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - Sutherland Sharks	0:3 ✺
13.06.26	Sutherland Sharks - Blacktown City	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	St George Saints - Sutherland Sharks	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Sydney United - Sutherland Sharks	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWLWW
- APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Australian NPL NSW
28.06.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Rockdale Ilinden	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Blacktown City - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1:3 ✺
13.06.26	Wollongong Wolves - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:2 ✺
06.06.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Manly United	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	North West Sydney Spirit - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
21.03.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sutherland Sharks	2:1
17.08.25	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sutherland Sharks	5:0
03.05.25	Sutherland Sharks - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:2
07.07.24	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sutherland Sharks	3:2
30.03.24	Sutherland Sharks - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:7
24.06.23	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sutherland Sharks	1:0
11.03.23	Sutherland Sharks - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:1

Sutherland Sharks - APIA Leichhardt Tigers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide