The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sutherland Sharks 41.2%
Draw 26.3%
Blacktown City 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
26.9%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
26%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sutherland Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Blacktown City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blacktown City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Sutherland Sharks - Blacktown City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutherland Sharks won 2.
Sutherland Sharks is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Blacktown City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Sutherland Sharks has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sutherland Sharks won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Sutherland Sharks won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.8:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Blacktown City - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 30.97%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.