Match Info

Date: 17 October 2022, Monday

Location: Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova)


	Mantova		Pordenone

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.95	2.1
	3.35	2.7	2.25
	3.2	2.75	2.19
	3.53	2.76	2.24
	3.3	2.9	2.15
	3.3	3.1	2.14	Watch
	3.3	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.7)	2.88 ↓ (3)	2.19 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
27.3%

Draw
31.4%

Pordenone
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

30.5%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

31%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Pordenone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	18.2%	81.8%

Mantova - Pordenone Predictions

Users Predictions: Pordenone will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mantova won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pordenone will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mantova won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
09.10.22	Virtus Verona - Mantova	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Mantova - Trento	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
02.10.22	Mantova - Pro Sesto	0:0 ✺
24.09.22	Lecco - Mantova	3:0 ✺
17.09.22	Mantova - Trento	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWTLW
- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
09.10.22	Pordenone - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Pordenone - Imolese	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
02.10.22	Renate - Pordenone	0:0 ✺
24.09.22	Pordenone - Padova	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Pordenone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
29.01.17	Pordenone - Mantova	0:0
13.09.16	Mantova - Pordenone	0:2
Italian Serie C Group A
30.01.16	Pordenone - Mantova	1:0
19.09.15	Mantova - Pordenone	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
23.08.15	Pordenone - Mantova	1:2
Italian Serie C Group A
29.03.15	Pordenone - Mantova	2:1
16.11.14	Mantova - Pordenone	1:0

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