The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Modena 52.8%
Draw 26%
Mantova 21.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.1%
25.8%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.2%
25.2%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Modena - Mantova Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Serie A and 4th in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Semi - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 3.
Modena has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Mantova have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Modena is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Modena: Manquant J.
(Knee Injury)
Ronco D.
(Inactive)
Sersanti A.
(Knee Injury)
Stenio
(Inactive)
Tonoli D.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Mantova: Chinetti F.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Mantova: Paoletti F.
(Inactive)
Silva J.
(Inactive).
Our forecast points to a victory for Modena in today's match, at odds of 1.76.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Modena has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:5 (averaging 1.4:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Modena against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 2:0.8 per game).