Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 11

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Virtus Verona		Mantova

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.45
	2.6	3.3	2.55
	2.6	3.39	2.6
	2.61	3.37	2.61
	2.62	3.2	2.4
	2.58	3.16	2.51	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.22)	3.27 ↑ (3.04)	2.51 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Verona
35.5%

Draw
28%

Mantova
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.9%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

29.3%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virtus Verona's form might have worsened.

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mantova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Verona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mantova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Virtus Verona - Mantova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sibi S. (G) 35. Cabianca E. 27. Faedo C. 13. Ruggero M. 6. Daffara M. 24. Metlika A. 14. Zarpellon L. 11. Manfrin G. 10. Danti D. 18. Ceter D. 9. Casarotto M.	1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 13. Brignani F. 16. Cavalli T. 4. Celesia C. 28. Muroni M. 8. Burrai S. 6. Bani C. 7. Mensah D. 14. Galuppini F. 11. Fiori A.
Substitutes
8. Begheldo G. 4. Cellai L. 70. Demirovic E. 21. Gomez J. 42. Lodovici R. 3. Mazzolo F. 5. Mehic D. 90. Menato A. 15. Ntube M. R. 23. Toffanin F. 77. Vesentini F. 12. Voltan M. (G) 1. Zecchin A. (G) 17. Zigoni G.	24. Argint G. 30. Bragantini D. 20. Fedel G. 90. Giacomelli S. 45. Monachello G. 23. Panizzi E. 5. Redolfi A. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 18. Suagher E. 21. Trimboli S. 10. Wieser D.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Verona won 2.

Recent matches Virtus Verona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mantova is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mantova have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Virtus Verona won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Verona won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
24.10.23	Pro Sesto - Virtus Verona	0:1 ✺
20.10.23	Virtus Verona - Fiorenzuola	1:0 ✺
13.10.23	AlbinoLeffe - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Virtus Verona	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Virtus Verona - Triestina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWL
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
24.10.23	Mantova - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Mantova - Novara	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Pro Patria - Mantova	0:0 ✺
06.10.23	Mantova - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Mantova - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
05.02.23	Mantova - Virtus Verona	2:3
09.10.22	Virtus Verona - Mantova	1:1
26.03.22	Mantova - Virtus Verona	2:2
21.11.21	Virtus Verona - Mantova	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
17.03.21	Mantova - Virtus Verona	3:2
22.11.20	Virtus Verona - Mantova	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group C
07.01.18	Virtus Verona - Mantova	3:2

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