The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marítimo 12.5%
Draw 20.3%
Braga 67.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.4%
21.5%
60.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.2%
21.3%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marítimo's form might have worsened.
Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Braga's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marítimo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Marítimo - Braga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Panis N. (G) 12. Costa E. 10. Coutinho R. 11. Ferreira S. 15. Freitas D. 4. Gabi Zidoi 3. Henrichs S. 2. Holtz J. 9. Nemtsov E. 5. Silva J. 25. Sisse F.
28. Morais P. (G) 8. Alagoa M. 86. Bravo N. 19. Correia A. 16. Filipinha 10. Halldorsdottir A. 20. Ines M. 5. Lewis L. 2. Miller M. 9. Schmidt M. 25. Vieira C.
Substitutes
20. Costa L. 22. Ferreira C. 13. Freitas I. 19. Goncalves L. 6. Nunes C. 7. Oliveira L. 8. Radosavljevic J. 30. Santos B. (G) 17. Silva A.
42. Castro F. 14. Detrizio M. 4. Dudukovich K. 12. Esgueirao I. (G) 7. Esteves Rocha C. 11. Flores M. 22. Masur S. 87. Melo R. 21. Moon A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Ines M. 🟨,
39', Vieira C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Alagoa M. ⚽,
72', 0 - 2, Halldorsdottir A. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 1.
In recent matches, Marítimo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Braga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Braga is a strong favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:36. (average 0.9:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.1:1.8).