Match Info

Liga BPI Women - Round 10

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo da Imaculada Conceição (Funchal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Marítimo		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.35	2.38
	2.63	3.38	2.42
	2.54	3.62	2.4	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.66	3.18	2.56	Watch
	2.57	3.6	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.08)	3.37 ↓ (3.48)	2.43 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
35.5%

Draw
27%

Rio Ave
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

26.4%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

25.9%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marítimo's form might have worsened.

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Ave's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marítimo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Ave, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marítimo - Rio Ave Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Panis N. (G) 4. Gabi Zidoi 3. Henrichs S. 5. Silva J. 10. Coutinho R. 15. Freitas D. 11. Ferreira S. 2. Holtz J. 12. Costa E. 25. Sisse F. 9. Nemtsov E.	1. Coster C. (G) 5. Shepherd S. 20. Wolfbauer M. 77. Contente M. 8. Mafalda 15. Assucena A. 2. Fetty R. 55. Ribeiro A. 11. Curran C. 9. Gomes M. 70. Cristo C.
Substitutes
14. Abreu C. 20. Costa L. 22. Ferreira C. 13. Freitas I. 19. Goncalves L. 6. Nunes C. 7. Oliveira L. 8. Radosavljevic J. 30. Santos B. (G)	10. Conduto B. 31. Fernandes Neves A. (G) 17. Ferreira A. 6. Ferreira P. 32. Martins C. 42. Pereira R. 21. Queiros S. 30. Rodrigues M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Sisse F. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Shepherd S. ⚽,
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Contente M. ↓, Martins C. ↑,
70', 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, Henrichs S. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Fetty R. ↓, Conduto B. ↑,
79', Coutinho R. ↓, Freitas I. ↑,
79', Nemtsov E. ↓, Oliveira L. ↑,
90+3', Sisse F. ↓, Radosavljevic J. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Liga BPI Women (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Marítimo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marítimo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Rio Ave W	3	0	0	3	0:6	-6	0
10	Maritimo W	3	0	0	3	0:18	-18	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo Women
Taça de Portugal Women
18.01.26	Marítimo - Porto	1:2 penalties ✺
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
14.01.26	Valadares Gaia - Marítimo	6:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
10.01.26	Valadares Gaia - Marítimo	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal Women
07.01.26	Marítimo - Valadares Gaia	2:0 ✺
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
04.01.26	Marítimo - Braga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.8 LLWWT
- Rio Ave Women
Taça de Portugal Women
18.01.26	Braga - Rio Ave	2:1 ✺
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
14.01.26	Racing Power - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
10.01.26	Benfica - Rio Ave	2:0 ✺
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
04.01.26	Rio Ave - Damaiense	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
20.12.25	Rio Ave - Valadares Gaia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga BPI Women
26.10.25	Rio Ave - Marítimo	1:1

Marítimo - Rio Ave: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide