Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 6

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	Marítimo B		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.25
	2.75	3.05	2.3
	2.75	3.2	2.3
	2.84	3.37	2.37
	2.75	3.34	2.29
	2.85	3.15	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.72)	3.2 ↑ (3.08)	2.31 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo B
32.5%

Draw
28.3%

Lusitânia
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

29.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo B than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Marítimo B is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lusitânia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Marítimo B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marítimo B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.10.22	Gondomar - Marítimo B	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Marítimo B - Salgueiros 08	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Rebordosa - Marítimo B	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	Marítimo B - Alpendorada	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Valadares Gaia - Marítimo B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLTL
- Lusitânia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.10.22	Lusitânia - Guarda Desportiva	4:1 ✺
23.10.22	Lusitânia - Resende	3:3 ✺
09.10.22	Gondomar - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
25.09.22	Lusitânia - Salgueiros 08	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Rebordosa - Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.05.21	Marítimo B - Lusitânia	0:1
09.05.21	Lusitânia - Marítimo B	2:0
28.04.19	Lusitânia - Marítimo B	2:1
16.12.18	Marítimo B - Lusitânia	2:2

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