Match Info

Serie D - Round 11

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Almir Dutra (Maracanaú)


	Maracanã		Altos

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	1.82
	3.36	3.11	2.03
	3.47	3.1	2
				Watch
	3.58	3.08	2.02
	2.89	3.21	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.5)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)	2.01 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maracanã
26.4%

Draw
28.7%

Altos
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.5%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maracanã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maracanã's form might have worsened.

Altos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Altos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maracanã than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maracanã, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altos than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Altos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Maracanã - Altos Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Altos will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Altos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Maracanã (1.85) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Maracanã (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Altos (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
11', 1 - 0, Luis Soares ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Felipe Sales ⚽,
30', 1 - 2, Junior Mandacaru ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 3, Joecio ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Maracanã is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Altos is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Altos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Altos might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maracanã won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Altos - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.11%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maracanã EC
Brazilian Serie D
29.06.25	Maracanã - Parnahyba	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Maracanã	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Maracanã - Imperatriz de Desportos	2:3 ✺
31.05.25	Imperatriz de Desportos - Maracanã	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Maracanã - Sampaio Corrêa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLTL
- Associação Atlética de Altos
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.25	Altos - Iguatu	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Imperatriz de Desportos - Altos	0:1 ✺
11.06.25	Altos - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Altos	2:2 ✺
24.05.25	Altos - Imperatriz de Desportos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.05.25	Altos - Maracanã	1:0

Maracanã - Altos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide