Match Info

Cearense - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Moraisao (Maranguape)


	Maranguape		Tirol

	1	X	2
	3	2.92	2.4	Watch
	2.87	2.89	2.63
	2.93	2.73	2.63	Watch
	2.8	2.63	2.5
	2.88	3.14	2.49
	3	2.75	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.9)	2.84 ↓ (3.2)	2.56 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maranguape
31.6%

Draw
32.4%

Tirol
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28.8%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

28%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maranguape has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Tirol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maranguape than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirol than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Maranguape - Tirol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Otavio (G) 4. Eudes 22. Samuel 3. Mael 6. Ronald 2. Rian Kelvi 8. Lessinho (C) 7. Clodo 10. Luis Guilherme 21. de Azevedo O. 9. Felipe Hulk	23. Rayr (G) 2. Dieguinho 14. Jairo 4. Ytalo 6. Taua 11. Natan Baiano 22. Ze Augusto 17. Sidin 7. Rochinha 20. Janeudo 9. Wilkson
Substitutes
19. Breno Araujo 5. Doda 18. Ferreira V. 15. Hyago L. 24. Maldine M. (G) 1. Maxwell (G) 16. Nailton 23. Paulo Roberto 17. Pedrinho 14. Yarley	5. Cesar Sampaio 15. Dagoberto 8. Isaias 12. Jonh Wilquer (G) 3. Lima J. 16. Lucas Gomes 13. Rodrigo Correia 18. Sales Lima R. 10. Topetti 19. Walison Madalena 21. Yuri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Clodo ⚽, Rian Kelvi (A),
18', Ze Augusto 🟨,
20', 2 - 0, Felipe Hulk ⚽, Eudes (A),
29', Taua 🟨,
32', Rian Kelvi ↓, Yarley ↑,
37', Samuel 🟨,
38', 3 - 0, Felipe Hulk ⚽, de Azevedo O. (A),
41', 3 - 1, Dieguinho ⚽,
42', Luis Guilherme 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Natan Baiano ↓, Walison Madalena ↑,
46', Rochinha ↓, Lucas Gomes ↑,
56', Luis Guilherme ↓, Hyago L. ↑,
56', de Azevedo O. ↓, Ferreira V. ↑,
60', Janeudo ↓, Topetti ↑,
62', Eudes 🟨,
66', Topetti 🟨,
66', Ferreira V. 🟨,
67', Sidin 🟨,
72', Clodo ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
72', Felipe Hulk ↓, Breno Araujo ↑,
73', Taua ↓, Yuri ↑,
76', Lucas Gomes 🟨,
78', Sidin ↓, Sales Lima R. ↑,
79', Hyago L. 🟨,
86', 3 - 2, Wilkson (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', Eudes 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Maranguape may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maranguape won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Maranguape won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maranguape FC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
28.01.26	Maranguape - Maracanã	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Maranguape - Floresta	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Ceará - Maranguape	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Maranguape - Tirol	1:0 ✺
08.01.26	Iguatu - Maranguape	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLWL
- Centro de Formação de Atletas do Tirol
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
29.01.26	Quixadá - Tirol	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Tirol - Ceará	1:4 ✺
14.01.26	Iguatu - Tirol	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Maranguape - Tirol	1:0 ✺
07.01.26	Tirol - Floresta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
11.01.26	Maranguape - Tirol	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense 2
27.03.24	Tirol - Maranguape	4:1

Maranguape - Tirol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide