Match Info

Date: 4 April 2021, Sunday


	Marbella		El Ejido

	1	X	2
	1.78	2.8	5
	1.9	2.85	4.5
	1.87	2.85	4.5
	1.95	2.95	4.99
	1.7	3.1	5
	1.91	3.04	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.93)	2.93 ↓ (3)	4.73 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
49.4%

Draw
31.2%

El Ejido
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

30.4%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

19.7%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

El Ejido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marbella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Ejido could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marbella - El Ejido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Marbella is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Marbella won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Marbella won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.03.21	Marbella - Linense	1:2 ✺
14.03.21	San Fernando - Marbella	0:0 ✺
07.03.21	Marbella - Las Palmas B	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.02.21	Marbella - Bodø Glimt	2:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.02.21	Recreativo Huelva - Marbella	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTTTW
- CD El Ejido
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.03.21	Real Murcia - El Ejido	2:2 ✺
14.03.21	El Ejido - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	Linares Deportivo - El Ejido	2:0 ✺
21.02.21	El Ejido - Sevilla B	0:0 ✺
14.02.21	Granada B - El Ejido	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.03.19	El Ejido - Marbella	0:0
28.10.18	Marbella - El Ejido	1:2
21.04.18	El Ejido - Marbella	1:1
26.11.17	Marbella - El Ejido	2:0
05.02.17	El Ejido - Marbella	0:1
18.09.16	Marbella - El Ejido	1:0

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