Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 18

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Nuevo Colombino (Huelva)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Recreativo Huelva		Marbella

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.12	3.2	3.35
	2.15	3.1	3.51
	2.11	3.12	3.42	Watch
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.12	3.15	3.41
	2.12	3.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.43)	3.13 ↓ (3.3)	3.37 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recreativo Huelva
43.5%

Draw
29.3%

Marbella
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.7%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

27.1%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recreativo Huelva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Recreativo Huelva's performance.

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marbella might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Recreativo Huelva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marbella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Recreativo Huelva - Marbella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galvez R. (G) 18. Perejon D. 5. Galvez A. 22. Navas R. 3. Lopez A. 10. Dominguez A. 14. Del Pozo D. 7. Romero P. 8. Luis Alcalde 12. Nico Njalla 9. Quintana C.	1. Lejarraga A. (G) 15. Diori Y. 10. Punal A. 14. Olguin M. 24. Edwards R. 5. Acosta L. 23. Pena M. 3. Fornes G. 7. Callejon J. (C) 16. Hanza D. 19. Ohemeng E.
Substitutes
15. Armero S. 20. Becken C. 11. Bekkouche C. 16. Caballero P. 21. Camara M. 13. Centurion G. (G) 17. Cerrudo J. 26. Davinchi 19. Garcia Perez J. L. 6. Keita B. 24. Moreno Meca C. 23. Soto D.	17. Alayeto I. 2. Alvarez J. 12. Assi J. 4. Carrasco J. 6. Duarte J. 9. Du Yuezheng 22. Lancha Y. 13. Martin D. (G) 25. Solsky D. (G) 11. Soto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Edwards R. ⚽,
23', Galvez A. 🟨,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Luis Alcalde ↓, Armero S. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Hanza D. ⚽,
53', Ohemeng E. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Nico Njalla ⚽,
62', Romero P. ↓, Davinchi ↑,
62', Galvez A. ↓, Garcia Perez J. L. ↑,
67', Pena M. ↓, Duarte J. ↑,
67', Callejon J. ↓, Du Yuezheng ↑,
73', Du Yuezheng 🟨,
73', Quintana C. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
78', 1 - 3, Hanza D. ⚽,
82', Nico Njalla ↓, Caballero P. ↑,
85', Hanza D. ↓, Alayeto I. ↑,
85', Edwards R. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
90+4', Olguin M. 🟨,
90+6', Caballero P. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Recreativo won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recreativo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Recreativo won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:16 (average 0.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Recreativo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.12.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Recreativo Huelva	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Recreativo Huelva - Intercity	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Antequera - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Recreativo Huelva - Hércules	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWTWL
- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.12.24	Marbella - Betis B	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Villarreal B - Marbella	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Marbella - Burgos	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.12.24	Atlético Madrid B - Marbella	3:2 ✺
24.11.24	Marbella - Yeclano Deportivo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.02.21	Recreativo Huelva - Marbella	1:3
29.11.20	Marbella - Recreativo Huelva	2:0
08.03.20	Recreativo Huelva - Marbella	0:0
20.10.19	Marbella - Recreativo Huelva	2:1
31.03.19	Recreativo Huelva - Marbella	0:0
11.11.18	Marbella - Recreativo Huelva	1:0
15.04.18	Marbella - Recreativo Huelva	2:0

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