Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 21

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)


	Marbella		Estepona

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.9	3.6
	2.05	3.1	3.75
	1.98	2.9	3.62
	1.95	3.06	4.2
	1.97	3.1	4.02
	2.05	2.95	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.02)	3 ↑ (2.88)	3.81 (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
45.7%

Draw
30.4%

Estepona
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

31.4%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

31.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Marbella - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Estepona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Marbella have a series of guest games.

Marbella will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marbella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.01.24	El Palo - Marbella	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Manchego - Marbella	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	UCAM Murcia - Marbella	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Águilas - Marbella	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Marbella - Vélez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWLT
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.01.24	Estepona - Manchego	3:0 ✺
21.01.24	Águilas - Estepona	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Estepona - Yeclano Deportivo	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Estepona - Betis B	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	La Unión - Estepona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.09.23	Estepona - Marbella	0:1

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