Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 1

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)


	Marbella		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	3.15	2.85	2.25
	2.71	3.12	2.62
	3.15	3.1	2.24
	3.2	3.05	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.75)	3.03 ↓ (3.5)	2.32 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
30.1%

Draw
30.3%

UCAM Murcia
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

25.3%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Marbella - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marbella won 2.

Recent matches Marbella is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

UCAM Murcia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

UCAM Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

UCAM Murcia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Marbella won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Marbella won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Club Friendly
26.08.23	Marbella - Malaga B	1:0 ✺
18.08.23	Marbella - Sevilla B	0:0 ✺
05.08.23	San Fernando - Marbella	1:2 ✺
28.07.23	Marbella - Lincoln Red Imps	0:1 ✺
22.07.23	Marbella - Málaga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTWLT
- UCAM Murcia CF
Club Friendly
26.08.23	Hércules - UCAM Murcia	3:0 ✺
20.08.23	UCAM Murcia - Cieza	4:0 ✺
16.08.23	UCAM Murcia - El Palo	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	UCAM Murcia - Granada B	3:2 ✺
08.08.23	UCAM Murcia - Melilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.01.20	Marbella - UCAM Murcia	4:0
07.09.19	UCAM Murcia - Marbella	2:2
12.05.19	Marbella - UCAM Murcia	2:0
22.12.18	UCAM Murcia - Marbella	1:0
05.05.18	UCAM Murcia - Marbella	2:1
10.12.17	Marbella - UCAM Murcia	1:2
20.03.16	UCAM Murcia - Marbella	2:0

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