Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 10

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)


	UCAM Murcia		Granada B

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.8	5.75
	1.48	3.85	6
	1.41	3.8	5.6
	1.5	3.78	6.39
	1.48	3.88	6.72
	1.48	3.85	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.61)	3.83 ↑ (3.53)	6.08 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
61.5%

Draw
23.6%

Granada B
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

26%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

26.5%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Granada B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

UCAM Murcia - Granada B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Faye S. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Bouzaig A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, Ramis Luque A. ⚽,
59', Mendes Pereira J. T. 🟥,
65', 3 - 1, Bouzaig A. ⚽,
90', 4 - 1, Bosch M. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 3.

Recent matches UCAM Murcia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Granada B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Granada B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match UCAM Murcia is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:16 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.9:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Granada B - the odds 5.4 are the expected chance of winning is 16.99%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.10.24	Linares Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	UCAM Murcia - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Linense - UCAM Murcia	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	UCAM Murcia - Águilas	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
02.10.24	CD Extremadura - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWTL
- Granada B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.10.24	Granada B - Xerez Deportivo	4:3 ✺
20.10.24	Don Benito - Granada B	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Granada B - Minera	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	San Fernando - Granada B	1:3 ✺
29.09.24	Granada B - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.08.23	UCAM Murcia - Granada B	3:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.04.23	UCAM Murcia - Granada B	0:0
10.12.22	Granada B - UCAM Murcia	3:0
21.03.21	Granada B - UCAM Murcia	1:2
09.01.21	UCAM Murcia - Granada B	2:1
09.02.20	Granada B - UCAM Murcia	0:1
21.09.19	UCAM Murcia - Granada B	2:1

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