The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UCAM Murcia 52.8%
Draw 28.6%
Melilla 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
29%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
28%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
UCAM Murcia - Melilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Soto A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 1 - 1, Lorenzo O. ⚽,
48', 1 - 2, Iglesias J. (Penalty Awarded),
67', 2 - 2, Aquino D. ⚽,
70', Ortola A. 🟨,
84', Pontones J. 🟥,
90+14', 3 - 2, Mizzian M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 4.
UCAM Murcia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Melilla's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Melilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, UCAM Murcia is a strong favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, UCAM Murcia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
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