Match Info

1. Lig - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: 21 Kasım Stadyumu (Mardin)

Referee: Coskunses R. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Digiturk, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Mardin 1969		Kayserispor

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.50	3.10	2.50
	2.43	3.19	2.72	Watch
	2.63	3.21	2.82
	2.54	3.22	2.74	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.7
	2.46	3.02	2.63
	2.47	3.15	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.58)	3.15 ↓ (3.21)	2.68 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mardin 1969
36.6%

Draw
29.1%

Kayserispor
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.6%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

28.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mardin 1969 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mardin 1969 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Mardin 1969 - Kayserispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kayserispor will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kardesler E. (G) 27. Alici K. 25. Sengul M. 15. Gezer U. (C) 3. Yardimci N. 16. Kabak A. 47. Wilks M. 91. Teklic T. 8. Denic D. 10. Dimitrov Z. 9. Kayode O.	35. Degirmenci G. (G) 7. Ucar M. 4. Guler S. (C) 3. Tabidze J. 77. Sen C. 8. Kurt S. 10. Keser B. 28. Camara M. 61. Saglam G. 97. Seferi T. 27. Moreno D.
Substitutes
42. Alhassan B. 11. Balat B. 7. Cetin S. 64. Dogan B. 70. Erol E. 29. Kahveci O. (G) 17. Korkmaz E. 77. Taskan D. 19. Uluk A. 45. Yildirim O.	6. Akpinar M. 71. Caglayan O. 5. Cihan K. 16. Donmezer D. (G) 88. Dulca M. 17. Gockan M. 9. Hasani F. 38. Karapinar A. T. 11. Kemaloglu E. 22. Radu D.
Coaches
Cingoz A.	Gerin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Saglam G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Kayode O. ↓, Yildirim O. ↑,
58', Denic D. ↓, Balat B. ↑,
65', Saglam G. ↓, Kemaloglu E. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽, Keser B. (A),
73', Wilks M. ↓, Taskan D. ↑,
74', Alici K. ↓, Korkmaz E. ↑,
76', Keser B. ↓, Radu D. ↑,
79', Dimitrov Z. ↓, Uluk A. ↑,
87', Kurt S. ↓, Hasani F. ↑,
87', Seferi T. ↓, Dulca M. ↑,
87', Ucar M. ↓, Caglayan O. ↑,
90+1', Yildirim O. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 7th in the Promotion ~ 1. Lig PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 1st in the Promotion ~ Super Lig).

Mardin has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Kayserispor shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Mardin: Aydin A. (Knee Injury) Tasdemir E. (Thigh Injury).

Confirmed absences for Kayserispor: Burak A. (Suspended) Ozer F. (Knee Injury).

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	15:3	12	19
7	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	9:5	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mardin 1969 SK
Turkish First League
13.09.26	Igdirspor - Mardin 1969	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Mardin 1969 - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Sivasspor - Mardin 1969	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Mardin 1969 - Vanspor	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Boluspor - Mardin 1969	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTTW
- Kayserispor
Turkish First League
14.09.26	Kayserispor - İstanbulspor	4:0 ✺
07.09.26	Erokspor - Kayserispor	0:3 ✺
02.09.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Kayserispor - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Igdirspor - Kayserispor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTLW

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