Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 32

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Bonchuk (Dupnitsa)


	Marek Dupnitsa		Chernomorets Burgas

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.88	3.2
	2.21	2.95	3.05
	2.28	2.87	3.33	Watch
	2.2	2.75	3.25
	2.14	2.96	3.38
	1.73	3.1	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.98)	2.92 ↓ (3.13)	3.34 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marek Dupnitsa
42.3%

Draw
30.8%

Chernomorets Burgas
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

27.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marek Dupnitsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Chernomorets Burgas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Dupnitsa than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marek Dupnitsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Burgas than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Marek Dupnitsa - Chernomorets Burgas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kostadinov K. (G) 23. Dyulgerov A. 19. Goranov D. 44. Kaymakanski H. 33. Kirilov D. 13. Lyubomirov V. (C) 16. Mechev S. 5. Petkov M. 55. Sandev R. 27. Todorov N. 77. Veshev S.	78. Altanov D. (G) 13. Correia 6. Dimitrov A. 3. Drame Y. 77. Hamdiev O. 99. Ivanov J. 19. Pavlov D. 96. Sadetinov D. 66. Staykov G. 22. Stefanov S. 30. Zhelyazkov N.
Substitutes
9. Dimitrov I. 88. George E. 94. Kaninski K. 18. Krastev M. 12. Mladenov P. (G) 17. Nikiforov K. 2. Plyakov N. 10. Vasilev K.	4. Avramov D. 11. Dobrev K. 5. Genchev P. 7. Hyusein H. 12. Kaishev M. (G) 33. Kostenski R. 27. Mitev H. 23. Piplica Z. 15. Slavov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+6', (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6).

Marek is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chernomorets Burgas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chernomorets Burgas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Marek is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marek won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Marek won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Chernomorets 1919	11	6	3	2	18:8	10	21
12	Marek	11	4	2	5	11:12	-1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.05.26	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Belasitsa Petrich	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Dunav Ruse - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Vihren Sandanski	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	CSKA Sofia II - Marek Dupnitsa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.3 TWTWW
- Chernomorets Burgas
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.05.26	Chernomorets Burgas - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Hebar Pazardzhik - Chernomorets Burgas	1:3 ✺
16.04.26	Chernomorets Burgas - Ludogorets II	0:0 ✺
09.04.26	Chernomorets Burgas - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Belasitsa Petrich - Chernomorets Burgas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
08.11.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Marek Dupnitsa	3:0
29.11.23	Marek Dupnitsa - Chernomorets Burgas	3:1
18.07.23	Chernomorets Burgas - Marek Dupnitsa	0:2

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