Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Ljudski vrt (Maribor)

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Maribor		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.2	1.7	Watch
	4.2	3.9	1.66	Watch
	4.4	4.05	1.7
	4.33	4.15	1.7
	4.34	4.06	1.72
	4.55	4.1	1.68	Watch
	4.3	4.1	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↓ (4.82)	4.08 ↑ (4.05)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maribor
21.9%

Draw
23%

Fenerbahçe
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

22.8%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

22.3%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	8.7%	87%

Maribor - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jug A. (G) 22. Milec M. (C) 20. Watson M. 23. Uskokovic L. 14. Urata I. 6. Pihler A. 55. Lorber M. 11. Skuka X. 15. Repas J. 7. Brnic I. 17. Jakupovic A.	70. Egribayat I. (G) 7. Kadioglu F. 3. Akaydin S. 14. Luan Peres 24. Oosterwolde J. 26. Zajc M. (C) 80. Yuksek I. 53. Szymanski S. 17. Kahveci I. C. 23. Batshuayi M. 10. Tadic D.
Substitutes
16. Antolin A. 81. Bergsen M. (G) 8. Bozic M. 97. Cuk T. 72. Ilicic J. 25. Karic S. 30. Lausic M. 32. Mitrovic N. 31. Rafiu I. 3. Strajnar M. 52. Zalokar M. (G) 29. Zinic A.	97. Akyuz F. O. (G) 1. Bayindir A. (G) 6. Djiku A. 9. Dzeko E. 28. Elmaz B. 92. Karayazi E. 11. Kent R. 15. King J. 69. Kocaturk Y. 16. Muldur M. 22. Nayir U.
Coaches
Krznar D.	Kartal I.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-3.

Maribor is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fenerbahçe is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Fenerbahçe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fenerbahçe is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Maribor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga
13.08.23	Maribor - NK Bravo	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Fenerbahçe - Maribor	3:1 ✺
03.08.23	Maribor - Differdange 03	4:3 ET ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
30.07.23	Maribor - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Differdange 03 - Maribor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWWT
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
13.08.23	Fenerbahçe - Gaziantep	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Fenerbahçe - Maribor	3:1 ✺
01.08.23	Zimbru Chişinău - Fenerbahçe	0:4 ✺
26.07.23	Fenerbahçe - Zimbru Chişinău	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Neftchi Baku - Fenerbahçe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Fenerbahçe - Maribor	3:1

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