Match Info

Super Lig - Round 27

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul)

Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+


	Fenerbahçe		Gaziantep

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	7.5	Watch
	1.25	5.54	10.54	Watch
	1.28	6.32	10.25
	1.27	6.13	9.96
	1.25	5.5	9.5
	1.26	6.51	11.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.28)	6 ↓ (6.19)	9.88 ↓ (11.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
74.8%

Draw
15.7%

Gaziantep
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76%

15.7%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Gaziantep has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Fenerbahçe - Gaziantep Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Fenerbahçe (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Fenerbahçe (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Fenerbahçe (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Fenerbahçe (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - draw (3.80) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ederson (G) 22. Mercan L. 14. Demir Y. E. 24. Oosterwolde J. (C) 3. Brown A. 6. Guendouzi M. 17. Kante N. 45. Nene D. 21. Asensio M. 20. Musaba A. 26. Cherif S.	71. Bozan M. (G) 23. Sanuc T. T. 14. Abena M. 5. Mujakic N. 2. Perez L. 10. Kozlowski K. 6. Kabasakal M. 17. Gassama K. 32. Kabadayi Y. 9. Bayo M. 44. Maxim A. (C)
Substitutes
9. Akturkoglu K. 70. Aydin O. 54. Ekici A. 7. Fred 34. Gunok M. (G) 18. Muldur M. 37. Skriniar M. 94. Talisca 67. Uregen K. 5. Yuksek I.	85. Akmelek M. 81. Aslan C. (G) 3. Camara D. 8. Gidado V. 20. Gorgen Z. (G) 26. Kalin A. O. 18. Sorescu D.
Coaches
Tedesco D.	Yilmaz B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Nene D. ⚽,
44', Nene D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Mercan L. ↓, Muldur M. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Maxim A. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Cherif S. ↓, Talisca ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Kante N. ⚽, Asensio M. (A),
66', Tedesco D. 🟨,
68', 3 - 1, Nene D. ⚽, Guendouzi M. (A),
74', Musaba A. ↓, Akturkoglu K. ↑,
74', Gassama K. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
79', 4 - 1, Nene D. ⚽, Asensio M. (A),
84', Asensio M. ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
84', Guendouzi M. ↓, Fred ↑,
87', Kabadayi Y. ↓, Gidado V. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 5.

Fenerbahçe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Gaziantep has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Fenerbahçe has had a series of away games.

In this match, Fenerbahçe is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E. (Ankle Injury) Semedo N. (Injury) Soyuncu C. (Muscle Injury) Talisca (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Gaziantep: Ablak A. (Knee Injury) Dragus D. (Inactive) Kizildag A. (Yellow Cards) Lungoyi C. (Yellow Cards) M'Bakata S. (Knee Injury) Sangare N. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Gaziantep: Ndiaye B. (Injury) Rodrigues K. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:14. (average 2.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 3.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fenerbahce	7	4	1	2	19:6	13	13
10	Gaziantep	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
13.03.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Fenerbahçe	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor	3:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	0:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
01.03.26	Antalyaspor - Fenerbahçe	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWTW
- Gaziantep FK
Turkish Super League
13.03.26	Antalyaspor - Gaziantep	1:4 ✺
08.03.26	Gaziantep - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	0:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
01.03.26	Samsunspor - Gaziantep	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Gaziantep - Trabzonspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	0:4
Turkish Super League
27.10.25	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	0:4
26.04.25	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	1:3
Turkish Cup
27.02.25	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	1:4
Turkish Super League
02.12.24	Fenerbahçe - Gaziantep	3:1
Turkish Cup
07.02.24	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	0:2
Turkish Super League
14.01.24	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	0:1

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