Match Info

SLOVENIA: PRVA LIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Ljudski vrt (Maribor)

Referee: Sabanagic D. (Slo)


	Maribor		Gorica

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	9
	1.25	4.7	8	Watch
	1.25	5.2	9.2
	1.28	5.66	11.14
	1.27	4.5	10
	1.25	5.2	9.9	Watch
	1.28	5.2	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.44)	5.07 ↑ (3.8)	9.49 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maribor
72.3%

Draw
18.1%

Gorica
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

23.7%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

21.7%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maribor's performance.

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	5.3%	15.8%

Maribor - Gorica Predictions

Users Predictions: Maribor will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maribor won 4.

Maribor in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gorica is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Maribor have a series of home games.

In this match Maribor is certain favorite.

Last 38 head-to-head matches Maribor won 29 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 101-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Maribor won 15 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 51-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga
06.12.22	Maribor - Radomlje	7:0 ✺
29.11.22	Maribor - NK Bravo	3:0 ✺
13.11.22	Tabor Sežana - Maribor	0:4 ✺
Slovenian Cup
09.11.22	Maribor - Krka	3:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
06.11.22	Maribor - Mura	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWW
- ND Gorica
Slovenian PrvaLiga
06.12.22	Gorica - NK Bravo	0:0 ✺
29.11.22	Gorica - Tabor Sežana	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Mura - Gorica	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Gorica - Celje	0:2 ✺
28.10.22	Domžale - Gorica	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
02.10.22	Gorica - Maribor	1:4
23.07.22	Maribor - Gorica	3:2
15.05.21	Maribor - Gorica	3:0
06.03.21	Gorica - Maribor	1:1
06.12.20	Maribor - Gorica	3:1
17.10.20	Gorica - Maribor	0:4
Club Friendly
15.08.20	Maribor - Gorica	6:1

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