Match Info

SLOVENIA: PRVA LIGA - ROUND 34

Date: 3 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Športni park Nova Gorica (Nova Gorica)

Referee: Smajc D. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	SportKlub


	Gorica		Celje

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.4	1.8
	3.8	3.2	1.8
	4.31	3.55	1.88
	4.2	3.2	1.8
	4.2	3.55	1.85	Watch
	4	3.45	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.62)	3.39 ↑ (3.3)	1.83 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorica
22.5%

Draw
27.2%

Celje
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

27.6%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

27.1%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Gorica - Celje Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Celje will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Prva liga (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gorica won 2.

Gorica is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Celje is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Celje is a favorite.

Last 38 head-to-head matches Gorica won 14 matches, drawn 12 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 50-39.

Including matches at home between the teams Gorica won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Gorica
Slovenian PrvaLiga
28.04.23	Domžale - Gorica	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Gorica - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:2 ✺
14.04.23	Koper - Gorica	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Radomlje - Gorica	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Gorica - Maribor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTLLL
- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
29.04.23	Celje - Maribor	3:1 ✺
23.04.23	NK Bravo - Celje	0:3 ✺
15.04.23	Celje - Tabor Sežana	0:0 ✺
10.04.23	Mura - Celje	0:2 ✺
Slovenian Cup
06.04.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Celje	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
04.03.23	Celje - Gorica	0:1
05.11.22	Gorica - Celje	0:2
26.08.22	Celje - Gorica	1:0
Club Friendly
26.06.21	Gorica - Celje	1:0
Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.05.21	Gorica - Celje	0:2
11.03.21	Celje - Gorica	0:1
12.12.20	Gorica - Celje	0:2

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