Match Info

SLOVENIA: PRVA LIGA - ROUND 35

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Mestni stadion Fazanerija (Murska Sobota)

Referee: Borosak A. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	SportKlub


	Mura		Gorica

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.3
	1.85	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.06	3.33	3.86
	2	3.3	3.25
	1.99	3.46	3.72	Watch
	2.02	3.55	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.81)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)	3.47 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mura
46.6%

Draw
26.9%

Gorica
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

27%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

25.2%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gorica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mura than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Mura - Gorica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 and 9 in the zone Prva liga (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mura won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Gorica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mura will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Mura won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 31-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Mura won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NS Mura
Slovenian PrvaLiga
02.05.23	Maribor - Mura	3:1 ✺
29.04.23	Mura - NK Bravo	0:1 ✺
22.04.23	Tabor Sežana - Mura	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Mura - Radomlje	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Mura - Celje	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWTL
- ND Gorica
Slovenian PrvaLiga
03.05.23	Gorica - Celje	1:2 ✺
28.04.23	Domžale - Gorica	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Gorica - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:2 ✺
14.04.23	Koper - Gorica	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Radomlje - Gorica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.03.23	Gorica - Mura	1:1
13.11.22	Mura - Gorica	2:0
02.09.22	Gorica - Mura	0:0
30.04.21	Gorica - Mura	1:5
20.02.21	Mura - Gorica	3:1
24.11.20	Gorica - Mura	0:1
20.09.20	Mura - Gorica	1:0

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