Match Info

SLOVENIA: Prva liga - Round 32

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Ljudski vrt (Maribor)

Referee: Matkovic A. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Sport TV


	Maribor		Rogaška

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.33	6.5
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.4	4.72	7.54
	1.4	4.72	7.54
	1.33	4.4	7.5
	1.37	4.59	7.5
	1.4	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	4.54 ↑ (4.42)	7.23 ↑ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maribor
66.8%

Draw
20.4%

Rogaška
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

20.8%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

19.9%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Rogaška has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (+2%)

The ML Model estimate for Rogaška aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Maribor - Rogaška Predictions

Users Predictions: Maribor will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jug A. (G) 5. Sirvys P. 50. Vidmar L. 25. Karic S. 22. Milec M. (C) 55. Lorber M. 15. Repas J. 2. Soudani El A. 72. Ilicic J. 8. Bozic M. 17. Jakupovic A.	30. Lorber Z. (G) 66. Kambic L. 2. Pirtovsek R. 42. Diaby T. 44. Flis Z. (C) 33. Majcenic A. 88. Korosec A. 35. Lovric D. 8. Thalisson Charles 22. Kregar O. 28. Mijic P.
Substitutes
10. Barisic M. 81. Bergsen M. (G) 13. Beugre E. 11. Bourles R. 48. Dizdarevic A. 7. Feta B. 24. Kolar M. 6. Pihler A. 20. Repas Z. 3. Strajnar M. 14. Urata I. 29. Zinic A.	13. Bazdaric V. (G) 16. Kitek C. 77. Kurez G. 5. Lampreht R. 6. Majcen J. 11. Marcius M. 3. Mihalic E. 84. Mulalic A. (G) 47. Prenkpalaj M. 34. Ruskovacki M. 29. Satchwell S. 27. Sim D.
Coaches
Simundza A.	Drobne O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Lorber Z. ↓, Mulalic A. ↑,
13', Kregar O. 🟨,
43', Diaby T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Lorber M. ↓, Zinic A. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Jakupovic A. ⚽, Repas J. (A),
66', Kregar O. ↓, Kurez G. ↑,
66', Lovric D. ↓, Ruskovacki M. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Repas J. ⚽, Soudani El A. (A),
79', 3 - 0, Ilicic J. (Pen),
80', Repas J. ↓, Dizdarevic A. ↑,
80', Jakupovic A. ↓, Bourles R. ↑,
81', Bozic M. ↓, Beugre E. ↑,
81', Kambic L. ↓, Kitek C. ↑,
81', Thalisson Charles ↓, Sim D. ↑,
84', Sirvys P. ↓, Feta B. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).

Maribor in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rogaška is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maribor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Maribor is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Maribor to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Maribor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Maribor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga
17.04.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	NK Bravo - Maribor	1:1 ✺
09.04.24	Maribor - Mura	5:0 ✺
05.04.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Maribor	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	Maribor - Radomlje	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWWW
- NK Rogaška
Slovenian PrvaLiga
13.04.24	Rogaška - Celje	1:2 ✺
10.04.24	Domžale - Rogaška	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Rogaška - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:3 ✺
Slovenian Cup
02.04.24	Triglav - Rogaška	2:3 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
29.03.24	Rogaška - NK Bravo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
25.02.24	Rogaška - Maribor	0:0
28.10.23	Maribor - Rogaška	2:1
20.08.23	Rogaška - Maribor	2:2

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