Match Info

SLOVENIA: Prva liga - Round 31

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: SD Rogaska Slatina (Rogaska Slatina)

Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)


	Rogaška		Celje

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.1	1.47
	6	4.33	1.47
	6.12	4.5	1.49
	6.12	4.5	1.49
	6	4	1.44
	6.01	4.29	1.47	Watch
	6	4.2	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6 ↓ (7.22)	4.27 ↓ (4.77)	1.47 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rogaška
15.4%

Draw
21.7%

Celje
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

19.5%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

19.1%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rogaška has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rogaška than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celje could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rogaška - Celje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lorber Z. (G) 66. Kambic L. 15. Vujcic N. 2. Pirtovsek R. 44. Flis Z. (C) 35. Lovric D. 8. Thalisson Charles 88. Korosec A. 77. Kurez G. 28. Mijic P. 22. Kregar O.	22. Rozman M. (G) 21. Ajhmajer N. 3. Vuklisevic D. 81. Nemanic K. 23. Karnicnik Z. 88. Svetlin T. 19. Zabukovnik M. 11. Popovic D. 17. Aarons R. 7. Matko A. 73. Prutsev E.
Coaches
Drobne O.	Krznar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Lorber Z. ↓, Mulalic A. ↑,
40', Aarons R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Aarons R. ↓, Bajde G. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Bajde G. ⚽,
63', 0 - 2, Bajde G. ⚽,
65', Ajhmajer N. ↓, Zec D. ↑,
65', Prutsev E. ↓, Bobicanec L. ↑,
68', Kregar O. ↓, Erico ↑,
68', Kurez G. ↓, Majcenic A. ↑,
71', Vujcic N. 🟨,
77', Svetlin T. ↓, Krefl A. ↑,
77', Popovic D. ↓, Vrbanec M. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Mijic P. (Pen),
89', Rozman M. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Rogaška is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Celje in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Celje is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rogaška won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Rogaška won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Rogaška
Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.04.24	Domžale - Rogaška	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Rogaška - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:3 ✺
Slovenian Cup
02.04.24	Triglav - Rogaška	2:3 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
29.03.24	Rogaška - NK Bravo	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Rogaška - Mura	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLWWT
- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.04.24	Celje - NK Bravo	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Mura - Celje	1:3 ✺
30.03.24	Celje - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:2 ✺
17.03.24	Celje - Radomlje	2:1 ✺
14.03.24	Koper - Celje	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
22.02.24	Celje - Rogaška	4:1
21.10.23	Rogaška - Celje	0:4
13.08.23	Celje - Rogaška	2:0

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