Match Info

Prva liga - Round 5

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Stozice (Ljubljana)

Referee: Tozan M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 5
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Olimpija Ljubljana		Maribor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.40	3.25	2.05
	3.25	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.47	3.36	2.23
	3.42	3.26	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.17
	3.28	3.48	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.8)	3.27 ↓ (3.28)	2.13 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpija Ljubljana
27.9%

Draw
28.4%

Maribor
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maribor will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maribor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Olimpija (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Olimpija (votes: 1 - 50%). Maribor (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vidovsek M. (C) 14. Bendra K. 17. Cuni M. 28. Diga 34. Doffo A. 30. Gorenc J. 23. Kobouri D. 9. Kojic D. 10. Mitrovski D. 6. Perea L. 3. Urbancic J.	1. Jug A. (C) 25. Blazic M. 3. Bumbic C. 7. Cipot T. 8. Goncalves C. 23. Karnicnik Z. 6. Mbondo B. 17. Mlakar J. 10. Repas Z. 70. Tshipamba I. 4. Viher N.
Substitutes
88. Brecelj J. 18. Brest M. 52. Dajcar M. (G) 71. Goga T. 33. Govea J. 55. Henjak M. 54. Jurgec J. 8. Lourenco B. 99. Marin A. 22. Pintol D. (G) 15. Ristic M. 11. Rose F.	98. Gardies T. (G) 5. Jevsenak Z. 34. Kikec T. 16. Kokol L. 39. Lainovic I. (G) 27. Mlakar L. 38. Osterc N. 44. Rekik O. 14. Seri J. 50. Vidmar L. 29. Vizinger D. 79. Zahovic L.
Coaches
Trenchovski J.	Milanic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Urbancic J. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 0, Urbancic J. ⚽, Mitrovski D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Bumbic C. 🟨,
51', Diga 🟨,
55', Gorenc J. 🟨,
59', Doffo A. 🟨,
70', Goncalves C. ↓, Jevsenak Z. ↑,
70', Repas Z. ↓, Zahovic L. ↑,
77', Diga ↓, Marin A. ↑,
78', Zahovic L. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Zahovic L. ⚽, Viher N. (A),
86', Mlakar J. ↓, Osterc N. ↑,
86', Viher N. ↓, Vizinger D. ↑,
88', Urbancic J. ↓, Ristic M. ↑,
89', Kojic D. ↓, Brest M. ↑,
89', Mitrovski D. ↓, Lourenco B. ↑,
90+5', Bendra K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpija won 1.

Olimpija has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maribor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Maribor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpija won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpija won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.1:0.6).

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Maribor: 44.73% O. Ljubljana: 15.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maribor	10	5	5	0	19:8	11	20
4	O. Ljubljana	10	4	2	4	10:8	2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenian PrvaLiga
08.08.26	Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Mura - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - NK Bravo	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - LNZ Cherkasy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL
- NK Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga
09.08.26	Maribor - Koper	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Celje - Maribor	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Maribor - Brinje-Grosuplje	3:0 ✺
19.07.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Maribor	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Maribor - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
09.05.26	Maribor - Olimpija Ljubljana	O. Ljubljana Awarded
08.03.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor	0:0
23.11.25	Maribor - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:1
31.08.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor	1:0
03.05.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor	1:2
09.03.25	Maribor - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:0
10.11.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor	0:0

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