Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Maricá		Porto Vitória

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.81	3.2	4.2
	1.8	3.15	4.33
	1.81	3.26	4.36	Watch
	1.79	3.2	4.39
	1.81	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.75)	3.2 ↓ (3.5)	4.28 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maricá
50.5%

Draw
28.3%

Porto Vitória
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

28.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maricá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Porto Vitória has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maricá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (-2%)

Maricá - Porto Vitória Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Clayton ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Xavier L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 1, Marcelo (Pen),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).

Recent performances by Maricá have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Porto Vitória is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Porto Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Porto Vitória has had a series of home games.

In this match, Maricá is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maricá FC
Brazilian Serie D
17.05.25	Maricá - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Boavista - Maricá	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Maricá - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Portuguesa - Maricá	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Maricá - Rio Branco AC ES	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLTLW
- Porto Vitória
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
20.05.25	Porto Vitória - Capixaba SC	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
17.05.25	Porto Vitória - Portuguesa	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
14.05.25	Porto Vitória - Linhares	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
10.05.25	Porto Vitória - Água Santa	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
07.05.25	Noroeste - Porto Vitória	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWT

Maricá - Porto Vitória: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide